Curation

Overview Humans are not strictly rational logic following human beings. We are inspired by our emotions, our sense of why we do things. And truly great individuals and companies start with why and then follow it up with how and what. World View Adjustment Old Mental Model: When we look to describe an individual or a business, we jump straight to what they do. What goods or services do they provide? What job do they have? It’s all about the tangible things that they do. ...

Read or use AI analysis. Use AI if you just want to extract the steps to negotiation. Read if you are looking to understand when and why you would use each step. I would strongly recommend reading this book over getting the AI summary. Negotiation is not a “follow the same steps in the same order every time” kind of skill. Most of life is a negotiation “The first step of achieving a mastery of daily negotiation is to get over your aversion to negotiating. You don’t need to like it, you just need to understand that’s how the world works.” ...

Read or use AI analysis. Use AI if you are looking for a step by step / how to guide for becoming a superforecaster. Read if you are looking to get the background on the largest results based prediction study with some process and tips thrown in. Project Background In 2005 Philip Tetlock published a book called “Expert Political Judgement” where his main thesis can be boiled down to “Most expert predictions turn out to be no more accurate than a chimpanzee throwing a dart at a dart board.” It gets even more damning when his data showed that there is a direct correlation between how famous an expert was and how often they were wrong. Said differently, the more famous an expert was, the more likely they were to be wrong. ...