The First Warning Shot

80% of their revenue—gone in months. Not years. Months. Last week, Tailwind CSS laid off 75% of their engineering team. People are calling it the first true casualty of AI. They’re wrong, it’s not the first. But it is the first one we can’t explain away with “restructuring” or “market conditions.” This is a warning shot. And if you’re not asking hard questions about your own business model right now, you’re already behind. ...

January 9, 2026

833x: The New Economics of Intelligence

What does a human knowledge worker actually cost per token? I ran the math, and the answer stopped me cold: $8,333 per million tokens. Here’s how that breaks down. The average knowledge worker processes about 36,000 words per day—emails, meetings, documents, Slack messages. Convert that to tokens (the unit AI models use), and you get roughly 48,000 tokens daily. At a $100,000 salary across 250 working days, that’s $400 per day of human cognition. Divide by those 48,000 tokens, scale it up, and you land at $8,333 per million tokens. ...

January 3, 2026

File Over App

What is File Over App? File over app is a philosophy: if you want to create digital artifacts that last, they must be files you can control, in formats that are easy to retrieve and read. Use tools that give you this freedom. Why is it important? Applications come and go. Formats change. The bulk of our digital lives has only existed for a few decades and in that short time hundereds of companies have come and gone. ...

February 10, 2025